Thursday, July 31, 2025

Research Report : Indian Financial Markets Outlook - 01st August 2025


Ravi Bhatt
Sebi Registered Research Analyst - INH000012591
Website - www.capsavaj.com 

Global markets traded in lower territory amid Trump tariffs get in action

Indian markets snapped a four-month rally to end July in losses as simmering trade tensions with the US triggered a risk-off sentiment and caused a flight of foreign capital. The Nifty settled 86.7 points or 0.35% lower at 24,768.35 on Thursday, when monthly futures contracts expired. The BSE Sensex lost 296.28 points to close at 81,185.58. Asian stocks fell for a sixth straight session - the longest losing streak this year - as President Donald Trump announced new tariff rates and as solid earnings from megacap tech firms failed to lift broader market sentiment.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 0.4% at the open. US and European stock futures ticked lower as investors weighed fresh tariff measures announced by President Donald Trump. The S&P 500 contracts traded 0.1% down, while Euro Stoxx 50 futures slid 0.2%. Foreign portfolio investors remained net sellers of Indian equity for the ninth consecutive session. They offloaded stocks worth Rs 5,538.2 crore, according to provisional data from the National Stock Exchange.

Fundamental Update

  • Coal India Q1FY26 (QoQ) Revenue falls 5.25% to Rs 35,842 crore versus Rs 37825 crore. EBITDA up 6.2% to Rs 12,521 crore versus Rs 11,790 crore. Positive
  • Thermax Q1FY26 (YoY) Revenue down 1.6% to Rs 2,150 crore versus Rs 2,184 crore. Ebitda up 59.5% to Rs 225 crore versus Rs 141 crore. Positive
  • City Union Bank Q1FY26 (YoY) Net interest income grew 14.7% to Rs 625 crore versus Rs 545 crore. Net profit up 15.7% to Rs 306 crore versus Rs 264 crore. Positive
  • Swiggy - Q1FY26 (QoQ) Revenue up 12.5% to Rs 4,961 crore versus Rs 4,410 crore. Net loss at Rs 1,197 crore versus loss of Rs 1,081 crore. Negative

Technical Update

  • NIFTY - Nifty turned volatile amid Trump tariff news and settle lower at 24,768 on Thursday. Index failed to breach 50 day EMA at 24,900 and snapped lower below 24,800. Support lies at 24,600 while 24,900 continue remained as resistance. Today’s range – 24,600 – 24,900.
  • BANKNIFTY - Bank nifty again attempted to breach 50 day EMA around 56,110 but could not hold above it and settled lower at 55,961 on Thursday. 56,120 continue to be resistance for the day while 55,400 is strong support. Today’s range – 55,400 – 56,120.

Disclaimer: This report is prepared by an analyst who has exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information before publishing research report. We shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage in analysis or views obtained from the use of information contained in this report and especially states that we have no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this report.

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