Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Research Report : Indian Financial Markets Outlook - 16th July 2025

 

Ravi Bhatt
Sebi Registered Research Analyst - INH000012591
Website - www.capsavaj.com

Global markets feel pinch of Trump’s tariff heroic, high inflation data in US hurts

Markets in Asia Pacific region fell at the open on Wednesday after mixed US inflation data spurred traders to trim Federal Reserve interest rate-cut bets. The MSCI regional gauge dropped 0.4% with losses in Australia, Japan and South Korea. The GIFT Nifty is trading 95 points or 0.38% down at 25,170.5 in the morning, indicating a lower start for the benchmark Nifty 50. S&P 500 futures fell 0.2% after the index closed lower Tuesday.

The NSE Nifty 50 ended 113.5 points or 0.45% higher at 25,195.8, while the BSE Sensex closed 317.45 points or 0.39% up at 82,570.91. Foreign portfolio investors turned net buyers of Indian shares on Tuesday after two sessions of selling as they mopped up stocks worth Rs 104.5 crore, according to provisional data from the National Stock Exchange. The domestic institutional investors, who remained buyers for the seventh straight session, bought stocks worth Rs 1,477.6 crore.

Fundamental Update

  • HDFC Life Insurance - Q1FY26 (YoY) Net premium income up 15% at Rs 14,466 crore vs Rs 12,509 crore. Annualised premium equivalent grew 12.5% to Rs 3,225 crore versus Rs 2,866 crore Positive
  • HDB Financial Services - Q1FY26 (YoY) Net interest income at Rs 2092 crore, up 18% year-on-year. Operating profit at Rs1388 crore versus Rs 1179 crore year-on-year, up 18%. Positive
  • ICICI Lombard - Q1FY26 (YoY) Net Profit rises 28.7% to Rs 747 crore versus Rs 580 crore. Total Income rises 13.7% to Rs 6,083 crore versus 5,352 crore. Positive
  • Just Dial - Q1FY26 (YoY) Revenue up 6.42% at Rs 298 crore versus Rs 280 crore. Ebitda up 7.66% at Rs 87.1 crore versus Rs 80.9 crore. Positive

Technical Update

  • NIFTY – Nifty gained over 100 points to settle at 25,195 on Tuesday. Index is facing resistance at 17 day EMA of 25,270 while 25K is near term support. Today’s range – 25,000 – 25,300.
  • BANKNIFTY – Bank nifty recovered smartly to close tad above 57K at 57,006 on Tuesday. Index breached 17 day EMA of 56,825 while 57,500 is now near term resistance. Today’s range – 56,800 – 57,500.

Disclaimer: This report is prepared by an analyst who has exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information before publishing research report. We shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage in analysis or views obtained from the use of information contained in this report and especially states that we have no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this report.

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