Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Research Report : Indian Financial Markets Outlook - 30th July 2025


Ravi Bhatt
Sebi Registered Research Analyst - INH000012591
Website - www.capsavaj.com 

Headwinds of likely 20-25% tariff on India makes markets nervous

India's key equity markets snapped a three-session decline to close higher on Tuesday as investors bought into large-cap heavyweights Reliance Industries Ltd. and HDFC Bank Ltd. The Nifty 50 settled 140 points or 0.57% higher at 24,821.1, managing to break the 24,800 resistance level. The BSE Sensex added 447 points or 0.55% to close at 81,310. But overnight news of likely 20% – 25% on Indian goods by Donald Trump makes markets nervous.

The GIFT Nifty is down 39 points or 1.6% at 24,800 in the morning, indicating a lower start for the benchmark Nifty 50. India seems to be in deadlock with USA over trade tariff talks despite having over 5 rounds of discussion. The deadline of 1st August is nearing and there is no indication of any trade deal by then. Asian equities struggled for direction ahead of the Fed's policy decision, while a modest progress in USChina trade talks did little to boost sentiment. Shares in Japan fluctuated on Wednesday, while those in South Korea and Australia remained flat, a day after the S&P 500 snapped a six-day rally.

Fundamental Update

  • L&T - Q1FY26 (YoY) Revenue up 15.52% at Rs 63,678 crore versus Rs 55,119 crore Ebitda up 12.5% at Rs 6,317 crore versus Rs 5,615 crore. Positive
  • Gallantt Ispat - Q1FY26 (YoY) Revenue down 2.8% to Rs 1,128 crore versus Rs 1,160 crore. Ebitda up 15% to Rs 247 crore versus Rs 215 crore. Positive
  • Jagran Prakashan - Q1FY26 (YoY) Revenue up 3.6% to Rs 460 crore versus Rs 444 crore. Ebitda down 2.6% to Rs 63.7 crore versus Rs 65.4 crore. Neutral
  • Bank Of India - Q1FY26 (YoY) Net interest income falls 3% to Rs 6,068.11 crore versus Rs 6,275.8 crore Net Profit up 32% to Rs 2,252.12 crore versus Rs 1,702.73 crore. Neutral

Technical Update

  • NIFTY – Nifty recovered from day’s low of 24,598 to settle above 24,800 at 24,821 on Tuesday. Index is still below 50 day EMA of 24,937 which acts as near term resistance. Support is at 24,600 while 24,940 is near term resistance. Today’s range – 24,600 – 24,940.
  • BANKNIFTY – Bank nifty has managed to halt further slide and gained over 350 points to settle above 56K at 56,222 on Tuesday. Index has crossed 50 day EMA of 56,114 but further gains are likely to slow. Support is at 55,800 while resistance seen at 56,450. Today’s range – 55,800 – 56,450.

Disclaimer: This report is prepared by an analyst who has exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information before publishing research report. We shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage in analysis or views obtained from the use of information contained in this report and especially states that we have no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this report.

No comments:

Post a Comment