Thursday, July 3, 2025

Research Report : Indian Financial Markets Outlook - 04th July 2025

 

Ravi Bhatt
Sebi Registered Research Analyst - INH000012591
Website - www.capsavaj.com

Markets in range as Trump signals sending tariff notice to countries
Asian and Pacific region shares traded in a tight range on Friday morning as renewed trade tensions ahead of next week’s deadline for higher levies outweighed a record-extending rally in US stocks. US stocks reached a fresh record in a holiday-shortened session after data showed job growth exceeded expectations, boosting investors’ confidence in the health of the economy even as it doused expectations for a July Federal Reserve interest-rate cut. 

Oil was little changed before an OPEC+ meeting that’s set to deliver another oversized production hike, threatening to swell a glut forecast for later this year. The GIFT Nifty was trading 34 points higher at 25,529, indicating a positive start for the benchmark 50-stock index later in the morning. Earlier, foreign investors remained net sellers in the Indian stock market, offloading over 1,925 crores of securities as per provisional data from NSE.

Fundamental Update

  • Bharat Forge - The Company has incorporated a step-down subsidiary named Agneyastra Energetics. Positive
  • UCO Bank - The bank reported a 13.67% year-on-year growth in the April–June quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by expansion in its domestic loan book. Positive
  • IEX - The Company reported a 6.5% rise in electricity trading volumes to 10,852 million units in June. For the April–June quarter, volume increased by 15% to 32,382 million units. Positive
  • Aegis Logistics - The Company commissioned an LPG cryogenic terminal at Pipavav with a static storage capacity of 48,000 MT. Positive 

Technical Update

  • NIFTY – The Nifty index continued downward journey to close below 25,500 at 25,405 on Friday. Index lacks momentum for amid trade tariff uncertainty with USA. Today’s range – 25,250 – 25,600.
  • BANKNIFTY – Bank nifty too slipped below 57K to settle at 56,791 on Friday. Large public sector lenders faced selling pressure from major fund houses. Index has 17 day EMA of 56,500 as strong support while 57,150 is near term resistance. Today’s range – 56,500 – 57,150.

Disclaimer: This report is prepared by an analyst who has exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information before publishing research report. We shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage in analysis or views obtained from the use of information contained in this report and especially states that we have no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this report.

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